Prevention Book

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Test Specificity

Aka: Test Specificity, Specificity, False Positive Rate
  1. See Also
    1. Screening Test
    2. Contingency Grid or Cross Tab (includes Statistics Example)
    3. Bayes Theorem (Bayesian Statistics)
    4. Fagan Nomogram
    5. Experimental Error (Experimental Bias)
    6. Lead-Time Bias
    7. Length Bias
    8. Selection Bias (Screening Bias)
    9. Likelihood Ratio (Positive Likelihood Ratio, Negative Likelihood Ratio)
    10. Number Needed to Screen (Number Needed to Treat, Absolute Risk Reduction, Relative Risk Reduction)
    11. Negative Predictive Value
    12. Positive Predictive Value
    13. Pre-Test Odds or Post-Test Odds
    14. Receiver Operating Characteristic
    15. Test Sensitivity (False Negative Rate)
    16. U.S. Preventive Services Task Force Recommendations
  2. Definition
    1. Screening Test correctly negative in absence of disease
    2. A test with high Specificity has few false positives
    3. Independent of disease Prevalence in the community
    4. Specific Tests allow user to rule in or confirm a condition (mnemonic "SPin")
  3. Calculation
    1. Test Specificity
      1. True negative tests per unaffected patients tested
      2. Expressed as a percentage
      3. Test Specificity = P(negative test | no disease)
        1. Where P (A | B) = Probability of A given B
    2. False Positive Rate
      1. Test positive despite absence of condition
      2. False Positive Rate = 1 - Test Specificity
  4. Example: A new Screening Test for Crohn's Disease
    1. Patients without Crohn's Disease tested: 255
    2. Patients without Crohn's Disease who have a negative test: 230
    3. Specificity = 230/255 or 90%
  5. Precaution
    1. Test Specificity can be misleading
    2. Example
      1. Condition A is actually present in 150 patients (5%) of the 3000 patients tested
      2. Therefore 2850 patients do not have condition A
      3. Test Specificity of 90% would result in a 10% False Positive Rate (of 2850) or 285 patients
      4. In this case a 90% Test Specificity would result in a false positive result in 285 patients, when only 150 actually had the condition
    3. Conclusion
      1. The lower the Prevalence of disease in the cohort tested, the higher the Test Specificity must be to give a reasonable likelihood of correctness
      2. Positive Predictive Value may be a more valuable measure as it takes the condition Prevalence into account
      3. Risk stratifying a group prior to testing can concentrate patients more likely to be positive without missing a significant number
        1. Example: Limit D-Dimer testing to the intermediate likelihood of Pulmonary Embolism group (based on Wells Score)
        2. This increases the Prevalence in the tested group and reduces the number of patients with false positive results
  6. References
    1. Hennekens (1987) Epidemiology Medicine, p.327-47
    2. Majoewsky (2012) EM:RAP 12(1): 9-11
    3. Gates (2001) Am Fam Physician 63(3):513-22 [PubMed]
    4. MacLean (1996) Med Clin North Am 80(1):1-14 [PubMed]
    5. Nielsen (1999) Med Clin North Am 83(6):1323-37 [PubMed]

Specificity (C0037791)

Concepts Quantitative Concept (T081)
MSH D012680
Portuguese Especificidade
Spanish Especificidad
French Spécificité
German Spezifität
English Specificity, specificity
Croatian SPECIFIČNOST
Norwegian Spesifisitet
Italian Specificità
Dutch Specificiteit
Sources
Derived from the NIH UMLS (Unified Medical Language System)


specificity of measurement (C0681901)

Concepts Quantitative Concept (T081)
English specificity of measurement
Sources
Derived from the NIH UMLS (Unified Medical Language System)


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